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1999


Cellnet and Vodafone: Reports on references under section 13 of the Telecommunications Act 1984 on the charges made by Cellnet and Vodafone for terminating calls from fixed-line networks

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Summary



Introduction

On 5 March 1998, the Director General of Telecommunications (DGT) made three references to the MMC relating to charges for calls made from fixed telephone apparatus (fixed lines) to mobile phones. The terms of the three references are set out in Appendix 1.1. Two related to the charges made by Telecom Securicor Cellular Radio Limited (Cellnet) and Vodafone Limited (Vodafone) respectively, to operators of fixed public telecommunications systems (fixed network operators or FNOs) for the delivery of calls to mobile phones on their respective mobile telephone networks, including charges for unanswered and diverted calls. The third reference related to the charges made by British Telecommunications plc (BT) to users of its fixed lines for calls made to mobile phones (fixed-to-mobile calls) on the Cellnet and Vodafone mobile phone networks.

The three references were investigated in parallel by the same Group of members of the MMC. We have submitted a separate report to the DGT on the reference relating to the charges made by BT. This volume deals only with Cellnet's and Vodafone's charges. Certain of the appendices form part of only the Cellnet report, and certain form part of only the Vodafone report.

Mobile network operators (MNOs) such as Cellnet and Vodafone charge FNOs a termination charge for the connection of fixed-to-mobile calls. We are asked to report whether the termination charges made by Cellnet and Vodafone and their charges for un-answered calls, and unanswered calls which are diverted, operate against the public interest and if so whether the effects adverse to the public interest can be remedied or prevented by modi-fications to their licences under the Telecommunications Act 1984 (the 1984 Act). If we so conclude, the DGT is required to modify the licences to remedy the adverse effects.

Termination charges

The DGT considered that Cellnet's and Vodafone's termination charges were excess-ive, and should be regulated so as to be cost reflective. He believed that Cellnet and Vodafone were able to set the charges without significant market pressure, because someone wanting to make a fixed-to-mobile call had no choice but to call the network to which the called party had subscribed. Cellnet and Vodafone maintained that there was competitive pressure on termination charges. They recognized that this was only recently so, but said that a number of factors were increasingly contributing to such pressures.

We examined competition in call termination looking at, among other things, recent trends in charges, consumer price sensitivity, alternatives to fixed-to-mobile calls and the competitive pressure that may be exerted by mobile phone users who also have a direct interest in charges for incoming calls. We conclude that there is currently insufficient com-petitive constraint on termination charges.

We note, however, that mobile telecommunications is still a relatively immature service in the UK. The industry and the technology are evolving rapidly and new competitive pressures may emerge. The client base is growing in size and experience and it is possible that charges for incoming calls will assume greater competitive significance in future. In these circumstances we do not believe we have a sufficient basis to expect that competitive constraints on termination charges will remain inadequate beyond the next three or four years.

In the light of arguments put to us by the MNOs, the DGT and others we conclude, first, that in principle termination charges should be cost-oriented. Alternatives to a cost-based approach such as demand-led pricing, which was proposed to us, in our view provided neither a better nor a more practicable starting point for determining the public interest. However, many of the costs involved are fixed and common to outgoing and incoming calls and it was necessary therefore to determine an appropriate allocation of these costs across different types of call. We also allowed for a reasonable return on capital, which we con-cluded was 16.5 per cent.

Second, we conclude that only efficiently incurred costs should be taken into account in determining the public interest benchmark. We base our assessment of efficient costs on Vodafone's costs as overall these were substantially lower than those of Cellnet. We do, however, take account of the extent to which Cellnet's costs were unavoidably higher because of its currently lower volume of traffic and the significant effect which this has on unit costs.

Next, we considered whether there might be any public interest benefits in Cellnet's and Vodafone's termination charges being higher than was necessary to recover their efficiently incurred costs and an adequate return on capital. We conclude that this is not necessary either to ensure quality of service or efficient levels of investment. However, in view of the possibility that termination charges could become an element of competition in the future, we considered that there were advantages in charges being above Vodafone's costs. These are relatively low because of Vodafone's higher market share and economies of scale. We saw a risk that charges strictly reflecting Vodafone's costs could inhibit other MNOs from making termination charges a competitive issue, to the longer term detriment of consumers.

We resolve this problem by using as our public interest benchmark the efficiently incurred costs of an operator assuming it had 25 per cent of the current and anticipated market. With, currently, four MNOs and no new entrants being licensed to operate before 2002, this benchmark is achievable by any or indeed all of them. This benchmark figure we estimated as 12.15 pence per minute (ppm) for 1998/99 and 11.38 ppm for 1999/2000, drop-ping to 9.98 ppm in out-turn prices by 2001/02.

The charges introduced by Cellnet and Vodafone in August 1998 are 22 per cent above the current benchmark and 30 per cent above the benchmark for 1999/2000. We conclude that these charges operate against the public interest, and that they may be expected to operate against the public interest over the next three years.

After considering a variety of types of modifications to Cellnet's and Vodafone's licences we conclude that the only effective means of remedying or preventing the adverse effects would be to impose a price control on termination charges.

Unanswered and diverted calls

Both Cellnet and Vodafone charge for calls terminating on a recorded message, and charge for unanswered calls which are diverted to another phone from the time the diversion is announced.

We consider that these practices lead to callers incurring costs that they cannot predict or control and are therefore against the public interest. We considered that the adverse effects could be remedied or prevented by modifications to Cellnet's and Vodafone's licences preventing them from (a) charging for calls answered by recorded announcements and (b) charg-ing for unanswered calls which are diverted, until they are answered. However, we allow for the costs incurred in terminating such calls to be charged to successful fixed-to-mobile calls, in parallel with the treatment of these costs in the fixed-line sector. This adds 0.32 ppm to the public interest benchmark, taking it to 11.7 ppm for 1999/2000.

Conclusion

Under our proposals, Cellnet and Vodafone would be required to reduce their weighted average termination charge for 1999/2000 to 11.7 ppm, reducing it by RPI-9 in 2000/01 and by RPI-9 again in 2001/02. Combined with our proposals in the report on BT's charges, this would reduce the average charge for a fixed-to-mobile call by around 25 per cent below the current average rate, and approximately 30 per cent below the rate applying when the DGT made the reference.








Full text



Contents

Part I

Summary and Conclusions

Chapter 1 Summary
Chapter 2 Conclusions

Part II

Background and evidence

Chapter 3 Background
Chapter 4 Competitive pressures on charges for calls to mobile phones
Chapter 5 The cost of calls to mobile phones
Chapter 6 Views of Cellnet
Chapter 7 Views of Vodafone
Chapter 8 Views of the DGT
Chapter 9 Views of third parties
  List of signatories

Appendices

 
(The numbering of the appendices indicates the chapters to which they relate)
1.1 Terms of reference and conduct of the inquiry
2.1 Interconnection Directive: views submitted on behalf of Cellnet, Vodafone, OFTEL, One2One and European Commission Services
3.1 Extract from section 3 of the Telecommunications Act 1984
3.2 Mobile telephone number portability
3.3 Main provisions of Vodafone’s licence
3.4 Vodafone Limited: profit and loss accounts, 1994 to 1998
3.5 Vodafone Limited: balance sheets, 1994 to 1998
3.6 Telecom Securicor Cellular Radio Limited:
profit and loss accounts, 1994 to 1998
3.7 Telecom Securicor Cellular Radio Limited: balance sheets, 1994 to 1998
4.1 BT’s headline retention rate for calls to Cellnet’s network
4.2 BT’s headline retention rate for calls to One2One’s network
4.3 BT’s share of call minutes by type of call
4.4 Net connections
5.1 The use of LRIC rather than FAC
5.2 Externalities
5.3c Models of Cellnet’s costs
5.3v Models of Vodafone’s costs
5.4 Details of the MMC model
5.5c The MMC analysis of Cellnet’s costs
5.5v The MMC analysis of Vodafone’s costs
5.6 Cost of capital
5.7 Examples illustrating the implications of harmonizing retail termination charges
5.8c Forecast for Cellnet to 2001/02 based on MMC illustrative price control for incoming calls
5.8v Forecast for Vodafone to 2001/02 based on MMC illustrative price control for incoming calls
5.9c Effects of a price control to 2001/02 on Cellnet
5.9v Effects of a price control to 2001/02 on Vodafone
6.1 Cellnet: general comments on possible remedies, and proposals for a possible price tracker index (extract from letter to the MMC of 25 September 1998)
Glossary  



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